DOTHAN, Ala. (WDHN) – Conditions across the Wiregrass this morning are not what we would expect for a typical mid-June morning, as many of us are sitting cool in the mid to upper 60s with sunny skies across the board thanks to a drier air mass that has settled into the region.
We will therefore stay dry and hot today, with high temperatures once again reaching the lower 90s. As we progress through the afternoon and into the evening, our winds will shift to the south and will help bring higher humidity values back into the region. We will however, remain dry, but due to the increased humidity values and moisture levels moving back into the Wiregrass, some patchy fog is possible overnight Thursday into Friday morning.
Our focus will then shift to the potential tropical cyclone that is expected to develop in the Gulf of Mexico. The latest National Hurricane Center update gives this system, currently in the southwestern Gulf, a 90% chance of forming in the next 48 hours. It is safe to say then that at least a tropical depression will form in this area late tonight or early Friday morning and begin moving towards the Gulf Coast. Models at this time have it making landfall somewhere in the SW to south central LA vicinity late Friday night into early Saturday morning.
This system is expected to increase our rain chances dramatically, beginning Friday night and continuing throughout the weekend as this potential tropical cyclone moves inland over MS and central AL. Because we will be on the eastern side of this system, heavy rain and flash flooding will be a threat across much of the Wiregrass over the weekend, with 2-4″ expected across many spots, with possible isolated higher totals.
As this system pushes away from our area on Monday, the higher rain chances will stick around thanks to a cold front that is expected to move towards our area and then stall over the region through at least Wednesday.